WHOOP // MLB Part 2: Athletes in the Outfield

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During their 2016 playoff run, the Cleveland Indians were unexpectedly aided by the bat of veteran outfielder Coco Crisp. The 5’10”, 185-pound Crisp homered in each of Cleveland’s first two series-deciding games to help the Indians reach the World Series. While the power outburst from someone like Crisp (who has just 130 career home runs over 15 major league seasons) was quite a surprise, the fact that he was in the lineup was not.

There’s a growing trend in baseball to fill the outfield with smaller and more athletic players than those who have manned the position in the past. Lumbering power hitters (think Manny Ramirez, Joe Carter, or a 43-year-old Barry Bonds) are not as likely to be outfielders as they used to be.

A recent analysis from FanGraphs’ Eno Sarris notes that runs created and slugging percentages from outfielders have been dropping steadily in relation to overall MLB averages. Sarris also put together this figure, which shows the average weight of outfielders over time vs. the league norm for all players:

screen-shot-2016-12-06-at-4-01-14-pm

The evidence suggests that outfielders are leaner and more athletic than ever before, particularly in comparison to infielders. Data from our WHOOP MLB Performance Study supports that theory.

Last season, 230 minor league players from 28 teams and 9 different organizations were outfitted with WHOOP straps. One of the many things WHOOP does is measure heart rate variability (HRV), a metric that is becoming more and more popular as a training tool for tracking cardiovascular fitness in elite athletes.

We examined the heart rate variability of the players using WHOOP over the course of the study, then broke it down by position. On average, outfielders had much higher HRV than infielders:

screen_shot_2016-12-07_at_2-18-28_pm

While outfielders appear to be more physically fit than infielders, pitchers were found to have the highest average HRV.

At any given moment in a baseball game, the pitcher is usually the player undergoing the most strenuous athletic workload, so it should come as no surprise that they are the ones most equipped to handle it. However, it’s hard to view pitchers from the same perspective as infielders and outfielders considering they don’t play on a daily basis. The fact that pitchers get more rest than other players could play a significant role in the HRV differences.

WHOOP uses HRV, resting heart rate and Sleep Performance to calculate daily Recovery. Results of the study showed that starting pitchers usually required three days to fully recover after taking the mound. Unlike players at other positions who compete on a daily basis, pitchers are actually given the time needed (four days off is the accepted norm between starts) to recover. This is likely a major factor in why pitchers have the highest HRV.

Come back tomorrow for Part 3 of our Special Report on the The Locker detailing the findings of the WHOOP MLB Performance Study.

Introduction: WHOOP and MLB Conduct Largest Performance Study Ever in Pro Sports

Part 1: Effects of Travel

 



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I am not a self-made man

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I am not a self-made man.

Every time I give a speech at a business conference, or speak to college students, or do a Reddit AMA, someone says it.

“Governor/Governator/Arnold/Arnie/Schwarzie/Schnitzel (depending on where I am), as a self-made man, what’s your blueprint for success?”

They’re always shocked when I thank them for the compliment but say, “I am not a self-made man. I got a lot of help.”

It is true that I grew up in Austria without plumbing. It is true that I moved to America alone with just a gym bag. And it is true that I worked as a bricklayer and invested in real estate to become a millionaire before I ever swung the sword in Conan the Barbarian.

But it is not true that I am self-made. Like everyone, to get to where I am, I stood on the shoulders of giants. My life was built on a foundation of parents, coaches, and teachers; of kind souls who lent couches or gym back rooms where I could sleep; of mentors who shared wisdom and advice; of idols who motivated me from the pages of magazines (and, as my life grew, from personal interaction).

I had a big vision, and I had fire in my belly. But I would never have gotten anywhere without my mother helping me with my homework (and smacking me when I wasn’t ready to study), without my father telling me to “be useful,” without teachers who explained how to sell, or without coaches who taught me the fundamentals of weight lifting.

Meeting Reg Park, my first idol and the man who gave me my blueprint for my vision, for the first time.

If I had never seen a magazine with Reg Park on the cover and read about his transition from Mr. Universe to playing Hercules on the big screen, I might still be yodeling in the Austrian Alps. I knew I wanted to leave Austria, and I knew that America was exactly where I belonged, but Reg put fuel on the fire and gave me my blueprint.

Sitting with Joe Weider 18 hours after I had arrived in America. I had just lost the Mr. Universe and was devastated, but he gave me hope and advice.

Joe Weider brought me to America and took me under his wing, promoting my bodybuilding career and teaching me about business. Lucille Ball took a huge chance and called me to guest star in a special that was my first big break in Hollywood. And in 2003, without the help of 4,206,284 Californians, I would never have been elected Governor of the great state of California.

So how can I ever claim to be self-made? To accept that mantle discounts every person and every piece of advice that got me here. And it gives the wrong impression — that you can do it alone.

I couldn’t. And odds are, you can’t either.

We all need fuel. Without the assistance, advice, and inspiration of others, the gears of our mind grind to a halt, and we’re stuck with nowhere to go. I have been blessed to find mentors and idols at every step of my life, and I’ve been lucky to meet many of them.

Two of my heroes, Ronald Reagan and Nelson Mandela.

From Joe Weider to Nelson Mandela, from Mikhail Gorbachev to Muhammad Ali, from Andy Warhol to George H.W. Bush, I have never been shy about seeking wisdom from others to pour fuel on my fire.

You have probably listened to Tim’s podcasts. (I particularly recommend the one with the charming bodybuilder with the Austrian accent.) He has used his platform to bring you the wisdom of a diverse cast of characters in business, entertainment, and sports. I bet you’ve learned something from them — and oftentimes, I bet you picked up something you didn’t expect.

Whether it’s a morning routine, or a philosophy or training tip, or just motivation to get through your day, there isn’t a person on this planet who doesn’t benefit from a little outside help. I’ve always treated the world as my classroom, soaking up lessons and stories to fuel my path forward. I hope you do the same.

The worst thing you can ever do is think that you know enough.

Never stop learning. Ever.

That’s why you bought this book. You know that wherever you are in life, there will be moments when you need outside motivation and insight. There will be times when you don’t have the answer, or the drive, and you’re forced to look beyond yourself.

You can admit that you can’t do it alone. I certainly can’t. No one can.

Now, turn the page and learn something.

This essay was my foreword for the new book by Tim Ferris, Tools of Titans. Thank you to Tim for donating a portion of your royalties to After-School All-Stars and for writing such a wonderful book of advice from leaders in every sector. Including this Austrian immigrant. You can buy the book here: http://ift.tt/2dUdOdI





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Russian Doping Program Laid Bare by Mountain of Evidence - New York Times

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Asked for their evidence, they zeroed in on the individuals who enabled the cheating as well as those who benefited from it, publishing on Friday more than 1,166 pieces of proof, including emails, documents and expert analysis of laboratory and forensic analysis of doping samples.

Among that package were key communications between Russia’s former deputy sports minister Yuri Nagornykh — who was dismissed amid scandal last summer — and Dr. Grigory Rodchenkov, the nation’s former antidoping lab director who told The Times last spring exactly how he had helped top Russian athletes dope on government orders.

Mr. Nagornykh and the sports ministry gave Dr. Rodchenkov explicit direction to cover up top athletes’ use of performance-enhancing steroids, emails and spreadsheets showed.

As Mr. McLaren laid bare nearly all of the cards in his hand on Friday, he made it undisputedly clear the extent to which one of the most powerful sports nations repeatedly cheated.

His report and an accompanying searchable website of evidence leaves little doubt that Russia’s doping program was among the most sophisticated in sports history, perhaps ranking only behind that of the East German regime.

The report outlined competitions that had been tainted by years of extraordinary preparations, ensuring Russia’s dominance at the 2012 Olympic Games in London, 2013 track and field world championships in Moscow and 2014 Sochi Games.

The names of most of those athletes were redacted — they were referred to by unique sets of numbers — but their identities had been privately shared with the relevant officials for each sport’s global governing body, Mr. McLaren said, as well as the Olympic committee, which has appointed two commissions to follow-up on the Sochi scandal.

Outside of the Olympics, sports governing bodies have autonomy over sanctioning global athletes for violations like doping or sample manipulation.

As part of his inquiry, Mr. McLaren examined some 100 urine samples of Russian athletes from Sochi out of a total of approximately 250 that have been preserved since 2014.

Graphic

Russian Doctor Explains How He Helped Beat Doping Tests at the Sochi Olympics

A step-by-step look at how Russian agents used an elaborate scheme to swap out tainted urine samples for clean ones taken months earlier.

The I.O.C.’s reaction plan now includes inspecting the roughly 150 samples that have yet to be scrutinized, examining them for evidence of banned substances — unlikely to be found under the scenario of urine substitution — as well as DNA mismatches in urine samples and other signs of tampering that Mr. McLaren’s team spoke of last summer: microscopic scratches on the necks of the doping sample bottles, as well as levels of table salt that experts said were physiologically impossible for human beings to produce.

(Dr. Rodchenkov had said he added salt or water in order at the Sochi Games, to make certain scientific specifications on tampered-with samples match those of original, tainted urine samples.)

The I.O.C. commissions’ work is expected to lay the foundation for disciplinary action against even more Russian Olympians, following a year in which dozens have been sanctioned and more than 100 barred from global competition.

Leading up to the report’s release on Friday, sports officials had braced themselves for the final set of facts from WADA with which the disciplinary authorities would be expected to work.

“I hope it’s all for nothing,” Gian-Franco Kasper, an I.O.C. executive and president of the skiing’s global governing body, had said on a smoke break in Switzerland this week during a full day of closed-door meetings with sports officials who were anticipating the McLaren report.

“For the winter sports federations, we’re in the middle of the season,” Mr. Kasper said. “We’re going to have to react immediately. In the middle of the competition, it’s not easy.”

Winter sports officials could encounter similarly acute pressure as that which was faced by summer sports officials last year, when they had about two weeks to rule on which Russian athletes could compete in Rio following Mr. McLaren’s report.

Russia is set to hold the world championships in bobsled and skeleton in Sochi in two months. American athletes have talked about boycotting that event as a show of dissatisfaction with sports officials’ handling of the Russian doping scandal.

On Thursday, less than 24 hours before the report’s publication, Thomas Bach, president of the I.O.C. repeated the Olympic committee’s guidance that sports federations freeze or terminate their preparations for hosting events in Russia.

Mr. Bach condemned the system that Mr. McLaren had outlined. “Clearly for me, if an athlete or an official would be part of such a system, I would not like to see this person again at any Olympic games in whatever function. Not as an athlete or as a coach or as an official.”

Ahead of Friday, Mr. Bach had little idea what to expect. Mr. McLaren had closely guarded his findings, declining to share them in real-time with Olympic officials as they requested; he instead waited to present the package made public Friday. Going forward, he will be cooperating with the I.O.C. commissions.

One of the chief criticisms Russian officials and some global sports authorities had made of Mr. McLaren’s initial work was that he had not heard Russia’s side of the story. In Friday’s report, he addressed that possible vulnerability, invoking his communications with Vitaly Smirnov, a former longtime Olympic official from Russia whom President Vladimir V. Putin appointed last summer to lead antidoping reform.

Vitaly Mutko, Russia’s former minister of sport whom Mr. Putin recently elevated to deputy prime minister, was unable to meet with Mr. McLaren, the report said.

Mr. McLaren seized on some of Mr. Smirnov’s statements as further acknowledgements that the government had until recently controlled Russia’s national antidoping agency, which is intended to be independent. Outlining Russia’s progress in recent months, Mr. Smirnov told Mr. McLaren that agency would be “liberated” from the state, and that antidoping operations would be broadly removed from “subordinacy” to the sports ministry.

Those statements, Mr. McLaren suggested Friday, may be the most direct sort of admission he expects anyone will receive from Russia that the “institutional conspiracy” he detailed took place.

Continue reading the main story


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Knuth: Fantasia Apocalyptica

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What is it?

Fantasia Apocalyptica is a multimedia work (in progress) for pipe organ, accompanied by four video tracks. It can be regarded as a somewhat literal translation of the Biblical book of Revelation into music.

Why did you write it?

‘Revelation’, also known as ‘Apocalypse’ (‘Uncovering’), is a mystical book that's filled with symbolism. It consists chiefly of a dream, recorded in the first century A.D. by Saint John the Divine. The dramatic events in his famous dream highlight crucial aspects of life, death, and spirituality. They run the gamut of human emotions.

I was introduced to Revelation by a faculty colleague at Caltech in the early 60s, and was especially fascinated by the ways in which many different numbers (2, 3, 3.5, 4, 7, 12, 24, …) were emphasized and given symbolic significance. At about the same time, as a member of the choir at my church, I happened to learn Paul Manz's wonderful anthem ‘E'en so, Lord Jesus, Quickly Come’, which is based on the book of Revelation.

An intriguing notion was soon planted in my head, namely that it might be possible to create a pleasing piece of music that incorporates Revelation's numbers and other mystical symbols in essentially their original order. (Paul Manz happens to be one of my shirt-tail relatives. I asked him early on if he would allow me to quote from his anthem, if I should ever write such a piece, and he happily encouraged me to pursue the idea.)

In 1969 I audited a music theory class at Westminster Choir College in Princeton. One of the assignments was to set a short text to music, and I chose to experiment with the phrase “I am Alpha and Omega” found in Revelation 1:8 and 21:6. The teacher told me that his favorite setting of those words was by Sir John Stainer, and he gleefully sang Steiner's melody. Thus I began to learn of the vast number of musical compositions that have been inspired by John the Divine's dream, and my vague plan of going further was reinforced.

“I want to write some music for organ with computer help. If I live long enough, I would like to write a rather long work that would be based on the book of Revelation. The musical themes would correspond to the symbolism in the book.” -- from an interview by Donald Albers and Lynn Steen, 12 January 1981

Many years went by, as I was consumed by other projects. Yet the notion of Revelation-in-music stayed with me, and I finally began to realize that I had better get started, if I'm ever going to finish. Therefore I started to make plans in earnest. On the day before Thanksgiving in 2011 — when I was nearly 74 years old, and after I'd spent much of the day working as usual on The Art of Computer Programming — I took a blank notebook out of storage and wrote the following:

In this book I plan to jot down thoughts for a project that may be crazy, but a “muse” has been encouraging me to embark upon it for more than 40 years. … I should mention that I consider [the book of Revelation] to be totally mystical and spiritual rather than literal or prophetical. It probably was written to provide an underground movement (early Christianity) with some coded messages of hope. But I'm intrigued by the fact that so many artists and writers have been inspired by these words, for nearly 2000 years by now; thus I can't resist the thought that perhaps I too might be led by this ancient text to create something that may be newly meaningful to people of the 21st century. Of course I may fail totally, and any music I write might be basically worthless. But, as I said, something has been urging me to do this for a long time, and I find that I cannot resist trying.

I learned a bit later that Victorinus of Poetovio, who wrote the first full-length commentary on Revelation (c. 270 A.D.), had already remarked with admiration that Revelation is organized rather like a piece of music, in that its repetitions of symbols and themes don't simply unfold in straight lines.

In what style did you write it?

Fantasia Apocalyptica doesn't conform to any fixed style. It's basically a 21st-century mashup of many styles that have appeared in previous centuries. Indeed, the book of Revelation ranges over many different moods; hence a single style can't do justice to them all. Elements of at least the following styles can be found within this piece, in addition to styles that are specific to pipe organ classics:

  1. ancient Greek music
  2. medieval chants
  3. changeringing
  4. Baroque counterpoint
  5. near-Eastern folk music
  6. shape note singing
  7. Romantic chorales and oratorios
  8. Romantic combinatorial patterns
  9. atonal “12-tone” music
  10. close harmony and jazz
  11. Broadway musical comedy
  12. rock music and rap music

And of course a musical work on the Apocalypse should also contain calypso.

I consciously tried to avoid constructing a mere ‘pastiche’, and emphatically not a ‘hodge-podge’! The result that I came up with does have its own characteristic flavor, rather different from most other music that I've ever heard. I think of it as having “high bandwidth”, in the sense that the musical ideas change somewhat rapidly (although they do recur in patterns). I don't pause to wait until the listener “gets it”; instead, I hope that the listener will appreciate a bit more every time the piece is heard.

I was delighted to find that a pipe organ is ideally suited to the varied elements of this composition. Conversely, the themes of Revelation provide an ideal vehicle for demonstrating an organ's unique qualities. I fantasize that people who are unfamiliar with organ music will be able to understand why I love the instrument so much, after hearing this piece.

Have you written much music before?

I spent a lot of time in high school reading books on orchestration, and I wrote a fairly good-sized work for symphonic band entitled Milton and the Rhinocerous. (It was a spoof of Peter and the Wolf, using a story by Roger Price that I didn't know was protected by copyright. I was blithely ignorant about intellectual property.) I proudly presented that piece to the band director, and he proceeded to lose it. As far as I know, no trace of that piece remains; and everybody, including me, is probably better off as a result.

I also wrote some short works in high school and in college, then a few occasionally as an adult. The best of these have been collected in Chapters 19–21 of my Selected Papers on Fun & Games. There also are some hymn arrangements, on pages 646–647 of that book and on page 88 of Things a Computer Scientist Rarely Talks About.

In short, Fantasia Apocalyptica is far more extensive than anything else that I've ever attempted to write. I have, however, spent thousands of hours playing the works of other composers, hopefully learning a thing or two in the process.

Is Fantasia Apocalyptica ‘computer music’ — generated by algorithms?

At one point I thought I might have time to understand music theory well enough that I could try to teach that theory to a computer. But eventually I concluded that it would be better to create this piece almost entirely by hand, using my desktop machine only to help organize the work. Thus it's definitely not “computer music”, although I do profess to be a computer scientist.

On the other hand, I did apply some algorithms by hand in a few places. For example, a haunting melody, taken from one of the earliest surviving instances of ancient Greek music, occurs ten times. I harmonized it differently each time, using the algorithm of David Kraehenbuehl that's described in Chapter 22 of Selected Papers on Fun & Games. (See “Randomness in Music”.)

Mathematical methods were also used to generate the changeringing patterns that appear briefly, as well as certain melodies used for the twelve tribes of Israel and for the twelve precious jewels below the “pearly gates” of the New Jerusalem. If those methods hadn't been successful, I would have changed the results by hand. Fortunately, I didn't have to do that; the mechanical approach did give a pleasing result in those cases.

What compositional methods did you use?

First I prepared myself by reading several books about composition, by Stainer, Schoenberg, Hindemith, Piston, and others.

Then, instead of relying on algorithms, I did constraint-based composition, which is a methodology that I discussed in an hour-long lecture to Stanford's musicians on 07 May 2015. The basic idea was to study the Greek text carefully and to identify roughly 150 of the principal motifs that it contains. For every such textual motif, I then chose a corresponding musical motif to use as its translation. (Think of Wagner's “leitmotifs”.)

Some of these musical motifs are brief melodies; some are chords; some are rhythms; some are idioms like trills, arpeggios, appoggiaturas, contrary motion; some are effects possible only on a pipe organ; and so on. Eight of them are up-down patterns inspired by the I Ching. Several of them are much less specific: I simply told myself to think of a certain composer. (For ‘truth’ I thought of Bach; for ‘voice’ I thought of Borodin; etc.) People who are obsessively curious can find below the complete dictionary of motifs that I finally selected.

Then, for each of the 404 verses in the book of Revelation, I made a list of the textual motifs that they contain, and the order in which those motifs occur.

I also searched systematically for existing musical works that were inspired by passages in the book of Revelation. Franz Schmidt wrote the longest of these, Das Buch mit sieben Siegeln (1938), a major oratorio composed for choir, organ, and a rather large symphony orchestra. (Its reduced piano score has more than 200 pages; yet it covers less than half of Revelation's text.) Other major works include Johannes Brahms's Triumphlied (1872), Charles Gounod's Mors et Vita (1884), etc., and a great many shorter anthems. Altogether I collected about 70 such works, and crosslinked them into my verse-by-verse database. I was mindful of Johann Mattheson's advice from 1739:

A composer might make a collection of all the pleasing motives that he has encountered. … Even the greatest capitalists will borrow money if it is to their advantage or convenience. … But copied work should be returned with interest.

So now I was ready to compose music for any particular verse, based on a reasonably short list of constraints. Every constraint narrowed down the number of possibilities. My job, therefore, when translating a particular line of Revelation, was to come up with music that had a certain melody and/or rhythm and/or musical effect, etc. Of course I also had to keep the global context in mind, as well as those local constraints. The overriding goal was to create good music, without sacrificing too many of the constraints. (My principal model for this activity was the constraint-based literature produced by the Oulipo group, and especially by its brilliant contributor Georges Perec.)

I woke up one day with the music for the first few bars in my head. And I knew that I wanted to quote from Paul Manz near the end. But otherwise I worked inside out — here's an excerpt from my notebook entry for 21 March 2013:

At this point I've gathered more than enough music, and surveyed all of about 250 motifs that are potentially significant. So I guess the next step should be to plunge in, somewhere in the middle where my lack of experience won't stand out when all is complete. While biking home today I decided to start in verse 16:3, not knowing what it would be. So I just now looked at it: It's the second bowl of wrath, where sea turns to blood; and I guess it does make a decent test case for getting into the thick of things. (I found no previous music for chapters 16 or 17, so this doesn't impinge on many other decisions.) Verse 16:3 will need musical motifs for angel, bowl, sea, blood, and death.

During March 2013 I was mainly working on a difficult program for Section 7.2.2.2 of The Art of Computer Programming. But on 23 March I was able to write

OK! I'm working on SAT13, but in odd moments the music for 16:3 “came to me” and I like it! First, an excellent angel motif is an 8-note upward arpeggio (as at beginning of Waltz of Flowers, which goes 16 up then 16 down, so I can dwell on it differently for different angels in different contexts). Second, a bowl is represented by two notes on one manual that “confine” the notes in another manual between them; these boundary notes get closer and closer as the bowl tips, and the contents then spill out. Third, wrath in the bowl is indicated by a lively jumping/gurgling theme (although confined to only two notes when it's inside the bowl). Fourth, blood coagulates/curdles and gets heavy, so notes can be clotted in clusters. Fifth, there's room for just about any four-note motif in the pedal, in the last bars of this verse, so I can put in whatever pattern I eventually decide on for the sea and/or death. …

In May of 2013 I happened to be in Vienna. So I asked my hosts where Beethoven, Schubert, and Brahms had purchased the blank staff paper on which they wrote their music. I was referred to Musikhaus Doblinger, where I purchased a beautiful, handbound Notenschreibbuch in quarto format. And indeed, I believe that the opportunity to write out my fantasy in such a book has been advantageous. (Of course I wrote in pencil, and made frequent erasures. Real musicians use pen and ink.)

Little by little I was able to assign musical motifs to textual motifs, always trying to keep maximum flexibility for any decisions that could be postponed. After drafting part of chapter 16, I planned some of the key excerpts that appear in other chapters. Then I finally was ready to work more systematically and to complete entire chapters, working sporadically over a period of many months. I drafted roughly every third chapter before working on the chapters between them, so that I could keep the overall structure more clearly in mind.

The last thing I wrote was chapter 1. (That's typical. Years ago I'd written Chapter 1 of The Art of Computer Programming only after having completed a 3000-page pencil draft of all the other planned chapters.) Chapter 1 of Fantasia Apocalyptica was finished, hurray, on 20 August 2016.

This process often felt like I was “channelling” — as if the music had already been written. Somehow the notes were already out there; I simply had to listen for them and write them down.

Sometimes the music did indeed essentially write itself. But at other times I had to listen very hard before I could hear it. I often worked backward from a musical destination that I wanted to reach, as well as forward from previously written sections. Of course I'd often have to go back and start over, when the results didn't jell.

The whole process was quite exhilarating as well as exhausting. Unfortunately, it turned out to be very hard on my wife, because she had to hear all the false starts. Hence I did most of the work when she was out of the house.

How long is this piece?

According to the metronome markings in the score, a mechanical performance should take roughly 70 minutes. But when played with appropriate emotions, I think the total time will be about 90 minutes. (For comparison, the time to play all 18 movements of Messiaen's Livre de Saint Sacrement is 114 minutes.)

The piece is, however, divided into 22 chapters, corresponding to the 22 chapters in the book of Revelation. Many of these chapters stand alone, so they can meaningfully be performed as organ voluntaries, lasting four or five minutes each.

When the entire piece is performed, the accompanying video tracks will make it easy for listeners to know what part of the story is currently being played.

What are the four video tracks mentioned above?

Track #1 shows Stephen Malinowski's animation of the music, created with his brilliant Music Animation Machine;
Track #2 shows Duane Bibby's superb illustrations of the Revelation story, especially commissioned for this work;
Track #3 shows the original Greek text of Revelation as well as an English translation;
Track #4 shows the organ score, more-or-less as seen by the performer.

(Well, those tracks actually still need to be created. I've presently got mockups for portions of #2 and #3.)

Is the work copyrighted?

I've chosen to use the Creative Commons ‘CC0’ tool (“no rights reserved”), thereby essentially putting the music of this work into the public domain. This means that you can copy it and modify it and remix it, etc., without feelings of guilt. If you want to acknowledge my role in its creation, that's great; but I created it only because I figured that somebody ought to do so. Links for downloading the music can be found below.

On the other hand, the information on the video tracks may well be copyrighted separately. These video tracks are still being developed. (For example, I hope to get official permission to use Today's English Version of the Bible in Track #3. That translation was copyrighted by the American Bible Society in 1992. I'm also encouraging Duane Bibby to publish the images in Track #2 as a separate book.)

When will the entire work be complete?

My goal, God willing, is to have the world premiere on my 80th birthday — 10 January 2018.

Are parts of the work available for beta-testing?

Most of the music has only recently been typeset, and not yet refined or performed. But a few preliminary fragments are currently available:

YouTube preview of Chapter 6
part of Jin Kyung Lim's recital at Stanford's Memorial Church (04 November 2015)
Audio file fant01.aiff
My first attempt to play chapter 1 on the organ at First Lutheran Church (02 November 2016)

Acknowledgments

I've received fantastic help on this fantasy from so many people that, alas, I can't remember all of their names. I do want to give special thanks here to individuals who have voluntarily contributed truly extraordinary amounts of their own time:
Jin Kyung Lim, who gave the first performances and provided me with critical feedback, beginning when I'd written only about 1/3 of the music;
Stephen Malinowski, who converted my handwritten manuscript into a beautifully typeset document, and provided video track #1;
Jan Overduin, an “early adopter” who immediately understood my goals and is providing me with important suggestions faster than I can absorb them;
Craig Sapp, who has been teaching me everything that I need to know about music software and hardware.

Details

Music scores to download

Although the music is still being refined, here are the latest performance-oriented scores for the complete work, as of 19 November 2016. (My suggestions for what stops to play are still very sketchy.) I've also included scans of my original handwritten manuscript, as it existed on 16 September 2016, in case you want to psych out what I had in mind as I was formulating the music.

Page 1 (title, and registration hints)
(the opening page)
Chapter 1: Introduction
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 2: Letters to Ephesus, Smyrna, Pergamum, Thyatira
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 3: Letters to Sardis, Philadelphia, Laodicea
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 4: The heavenly throne
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 5: The scroll and the Lamb
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 6: Four horsemen; open seals
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 7: Saints marching in
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 8: Four trumpets
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 9: Trumpets and woes
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 10: The sweet and sour little scroll
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 11: Seventh trumpet; open temple
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 12: The woman and the dragon
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 13: The blasphemous beast; 666
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 14: God's harvest
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 15: Preparing seven plagues
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 16: Bowls of wrath; Armageddon
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 17: The prostitute
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 18: Babylon is fallen
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 19: Hallelujah! Hallelujah!
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 20: The thousand years
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 21: The new Jerusalem
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)
Chapter 22: The coming Messiah
(typeset score) (handwritten MS)

Dictionary of motifs

Here's a complete dictionary of the Greek textual motifs used and the musical equivalents that I chose.

And here's an inverse dictionary, showing verse-by-verse which textual motifs were translated.

Also a list of special effects.

Allusions to existing music

Fantasia Apocalyptica pays homage to dozens of other musical works, enumerated here.

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Rise Of The Machines: Millions Of American Jobs Will Be Wiped Out In The Next Five Years

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Submitted by Mac Slavo via SHTFPlan.com,

There is a paradigm shift coming and it is about to rewrite everything we know about economics, human labor, and government dependence.

Earlier this week Amazon launched its first Amazon Go store, which allows a customer to walk in, grab the items they want, and simply walk out. Everything is tracked utilizing RFID chips, so the second you step out of the store Amazon knows exactly what you’ve purchased and automatically charges your account:

Amazon Go is a system that marries physical stores with advanced algorithms and sensors to eliminate the need for a typical store checkout. Instead of packing all the things you need into a basket or cart and then dragged it through a tedious checkout process, you just grab whatever you need and walk out of the store.

 

It sounds like a shaky concept at first, but only until you see just how advanced the technology really is. When you first walk into the store, you use your smartphone to open you virtual shopping cart. As you make your way around the store, a vast system of sensor tracks where you are, what you pick up, and what you take with you. The system even knows if you pick something up and then put it back, and will only charge you for things you actually intended to buy.

Amazon’s latest move is simply the next evolution designed to make human labor obsolete.

As Mike Shedlock recently pointed out at Mish Talk, the transition to automated systems like Amazon Go, as well as technologies like self-driving cars and long-haul trucks, has been fast tracked.

We’re no longer talking decades, but rather, a few years before we start to see the direct effects on the labor market:

Once again competition is the driving force that will guarantee success no later than a 2022-2024 time frame. By the end of that period, if not much sooner, long-haul truck jobs will vanish.

 

 

Perhaps drivers will be needed for final delivery in cities and remote locations, but the need for long-haul interstate and major state highway drivers will vanish.

 

 

My statement that “millions of long haul truck driving jobs will vanish in the 2022-2024 time frame” is likely way off on the low side if one counts Uber, taxi, and chauffeur driven vehicles.

 

Take a look at Uber’s goal once again: “replace Uber’s more than 1?million human drivers with robot drivers—as quickly as possible.”

 

That’s just Uber. And those jobs will vanish. All of them. What about Lyft? Taxis?

We’re talking tens of millions of jobs. And they’ll be gone within half a decade’s time.

The immediate response to such revelations is that there will be widespread societal upheaval.

How will displaced human workers feed their families or keep roofs over their heads?

The answer, according to Silicon Valley, which is driving the new paradigm full force, is quite simple and has been detailed in the highly rated documentary Obsolete from Aaron and Melissa Dykes (available free for Amazon Prime subscribers).

It’s called “universal basic income,” or UBI, and essentially means that every member of society will be given a paycheck to meet their most basic needs.

Aaron Dykes of TruthStream Media explains what’s coming in Obsolete:

Basically, a general idleness, an aimlessness of people who could become revolutionary, who could be subjected to civil unrest… who will probably be on social welfare and benefits for the rest of their lives and have nothing else to look forward to.

That’s the direction that the people in this country are actually headed towards.

 

 

Just a week and a half after Bilderberg’s June 2016 meeting it was reported that [Silicon Valley tech startup incubator] Y-Combinator was running a basic income experiment.

 

Billed as the “Social Vaccine of the 21st Century,” in Oakland, California where some 100 families were chosen to receive $1000 or $2000 a month in order to collect valuable date in the pilot on how to implement, manage and scale further UBI incentives.

Obsolete Documentary Trailer:

The trend should be clear. Bilderberg members from around the world are preparing their governments and citizens for the inevitable.

Robotics and artificial intelligence technology are advancing at a pace that will soon replace tens of millions of jobs in key economic sectors that include food service, grocery, transportation and customer service.

What the end result will be is anyone’s guess, but we suspect the transition could destabilize the global economic system, complete with violence and revolution.



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Recap: Leafs Stifled by Dubnyk

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Two teams that don’t meet that often aren’t normally expected to deliver fireworks. While the game wasn’t physically charged (for the most part), the Toronto Maple Leafs and Minnesota Wild opened the game with some end to end chances.

Both teams find themselves at different levels on the competitive scale, but it was clear in tonight’s game that both squads know just how important every point is regardless of how experienced or inexperienced the players.

After scoring first, the Wild maintained control of the game with the Leafs capitalizing on a few opportunities on the league’s best goalie. That being said, the Leafs never really caught up to the speed of the Wild which ended up being their downfall in this contest.

First Period

After the Leafs had a quick start to the period, giving themselves a couple of odd man rushes, the Wild made their experience and presence known early by opening up the game with their long stretch passes.

However, it was a defensive breakdown and strong forechecking by the Wild that gave them an early lead in this one.

Stuck along the boards behind his own net, Nazem Kadri lost control of the puck when Mikko Koivu knocked it off his stick. The puck popped out in front of the Leafs net where Jason Zucker came flying into the slot to open the scoring.

Six minutes later Jared Spurgeon found Chris Stewart, who got behind the Leafs defence, and was able to break in before going five hole on Frederik Andersen to give the Wild a 2-0 lead. Kurtis Gabriel also picked up his first NHL point on the play – a moment he was able to share with his family.

The Leafs, while falling a little flat in the first, continued to press the Wild. Outshooting Minnesota 10-8, the Maple Leafs were able to cut the lead in half when Kadri fired a puck at the pads of Dubnyk and Ben Smith was able to put home the rebound.

Andersen took the lone penalty of the first period following the Wild’s first tally, but Minnesota wasn’t able to capitalize. However, Minnesota was still able to carry the lead into the second period.

Second Period

The second period was more of the same, only the Leafs seemed to have more jump in their step. But Eric Staal and the Wild quickly shut that down when the big centre scored his sixth of the season just over a minute into the second frame.

The goal came after Tyler Bozak was unable to clear the puck out of his own zone. Charlie Coyle stole the puck behind the Leafs net and dished it out front for Staal to put it away. While the Leafs continued to develop their own opportunities, their flat footedness in their own end led to two big goals for the Wild through two periods.

After a big tilt between Gabriel and Roman Polak following the Staal goal, the Leafs continued to push and their hard work in the offensive zone didn’t go without reward.

Outshooting the Wild again in the second period (10-9), the Leafs were able to add a goal just over the midpoint of the period to cut the lead to one goal again. While he didn’t get an assist on the play, the strong forechecking by Leafs’ rookie Mitch Marner loosened up the puck for Bozak who made up for his earlier gaffe with a backhanded tally that got through the armour of Dubnyk.

Third Period

The Leafs came out flying in the second period, but even though they were able to get some dangerous scoring chances, Dubnyk stood his ground. Midway through the period, the Leafs had outshot the Wild 9-2, but the big net minder wasn’t letting anything get past him.

Holding leads is something the Leafs have struggled with all year, and while their offence has certainly impressed this year for a team full of rookies, they just weren’t able to produce anything early in the third.

However, their pressure did provide them with opportunities. With seven minutes left in the game, Wild defenceman Ryan Suter took a penalty as he took Marner down beside the Minnesota net and the Leafs went to the power play. Still, while the Leafs put up four power play shots, Dubnyk stood tall and took away the holes.

Even with Andersen on the bench and some significant pressure from the Leafs, Dubnyk was the difference maker finishing the game with 35 saves and helping the Wild to a big 3-2 victory.

Scoring Summary

FIRST PERIOD

MIN – Jason Zucker (4) assisted by Mikael Granlund and Mikko Koivu

MIN – Chris Stewart (4) assisted by Jared Spurgeon and Kurtis Gabriel

TOR – Ben Smith (2) assisted by Nazem Kadri and Morgan Rielly

SECOND PERIOD

MIN – Eric Staal (6) assisted by Charlie Coyle

TOR – Tyler Bozak (6) unassisted

THIRD PERIOD

No Scoring

THW Three Stars

First: Eric Staal (GWG)

Second: Devan Dubnyk (35 saves)

Third: Kurtis Gabriel (1 assist, first career NHL point)



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Hockey Share Drill of the Week – Redwing Warmup

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Redwing Warmup

 

 

Drill Description: 

  1. F1 and D1 pass back and forth going down ice (D1 backwards, F1 forwards)
  2. Once F1 gets to the blue line, F1 cuts to the middle and passes to F2 for a give & go
  3. D1 times the play and gets a second puck while following F1 up ice
  4. F1 drives in and shoots
  5. D1 pivots around the middle circle (working on transitions) and drives in and shoots 2nd shot

 

For more Drills visit Hockey Share at HockeyShare.com

 

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Catching up on your reading

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Joi Ito and Jeff Howe have a new book called Whiplash. Joi's the head of MIT's Media Lab and an extraordinary thinker. Jeff brings the ideas and the lessons of the Lab to life. This is a big think, well worth a deep dive.

The Knowledge, Steve Pressfield's new book, is put together like a Swiss watch. Every single word, every scene... it's a master class in what it means to get out of your own way and write a book that works. I am walking around the house, unable to put it down.

In the last week, I discovered that at least two of my smart friends hadn't read Godel, Escher, Bach. They have now. You should too.

Jenny Blake wants to help you manage your career. Bill Taylor will help you manage your organization's future. And Nancy Duarte will help you think differently about the way you communicate.

Novels: The Windup Girl and Pattern Recognition are chock full of images and ideas that will stick with you for months.

As we head toward the end of the year, I think you'll find inspiration in the work of people who show up and do the work. Daily. For decades. Jacqueline Novogratz and her classic book, The Blue Sweater continue to change lives.  As does Jim Ziolkowski's amazing true story. This is what happens when people step up, keep their promises and make things happen.

And, if you're looking for the biggest possible book as a present or keepsake, this is the last minute to order my 18 pound collectible. It's shipping now...

       


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Today Only, Amazon's Tossing In a $100 Gift Card When You Buy an Oculus Rift

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Oculus Rift + $100 Amazon Gift Card, $599

With the launch of the new Oculus Touch controllers, it’s easier than ever to recommend the Oculus Rift (if you have a PC that can handle it, that is), and Amazon’s making the price a little more palatable with a bonus $100 gift card, today only.

You’ll still pay the standard $599 out of pocket for the headset, but once you get the bonus gift card, you could use it to save 50% on the controllers. Or, you know, anything else Amazon sells.


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